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Old 09-23-2019, 06:07 AM
32-40win 32-40win is offline
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Near Drumheller
Posts: 6,733
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An interesting collection of the polling numbers that illustrates the risk of the split vote factor;

SFRC
18 hrs ·
This isn’t anti PPC, it is about strategic voting to save our guns.

Re: How the PPC Voters Can Help Trudeau Win, or Not

Here are 36 ridings where the PPC voters can make the difference between a Liberal (or NDP) win and a Conservative win. These are “toss up" ridings where the projected PPC vote is greater than the margin between the Liberal and Conservative candidates, meaning the people voting for the PPC will have this effect:

(A) If they give their votes to the CPC, the CPC will likely win that seat;
(B) If they give their votes to the PPC, then the Liberals (or NDP) will likely win that seat; and
(C) In none of these ridings will giving votes to the PPC have any chance whatsoever of giving a seat to the PPC. ZERO chance.

If you are thinking about voting PPC in any of these ridings, that vote directly supports the Liberal Party of Canada and Justin Trudeau’s continuation in power. DO NOT DO THAT!!!

————-

Here are the ridings:

Fundy Royal (NB) - Libs/Cons polling within 2.6% - PPC polling at 4.9%

Miramichi–Grand Lake (NB) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.9% - PPC polling at 4.4%

Saint John–Rothesay (NB) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.4% - PPC polling at 3.9%

Tobique–Mactaquac (NB) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.4% - PPC polling at 4.5%

Beauport–Limoilou (Que) - Libs/Cons polling within 4.8% - PPC polling at 6.4%

Drummond (Que) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.4% - PPC polling at 2.2%

Jonquière (Que) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.1% - PPC polling at 1.7%

Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.1% - PPC polling at 2.7%

Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.2% - PPC polling at 2.7%

Burlington (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 2.1% - PPC polling at 3.7%

Cambridge (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.4% - PPC polling at 3%

Eglinton–Lawrence (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 3% - PPC polling at 2.7%

Essex (Ont) - NDP/Cons polling within 2.4% - PPC polling at 3.2%

Kanata–Carleton (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.8% - PPC polling at 2.5%

King–Vaughan (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.7% - PPC polling at 3.8%

Kitchener South–Hespeler (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.9% - PPC polling at 3.2%

Milton (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.7% - PPC polling at 3.2%

Mississauga–Streetsville (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 2.4% - PPC polling at 3%

Newmarket–Aurora (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.2% - PPC polling at 2.5%

Northumberland–Peterborough South (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.7% - PPC polling at 2.7%

Oakville North–Burlington (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1% - PPC polling at 2.7%

Peterborough–Kawartha (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.8% - PPC polling at 3.3%

Richmond Hill (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 0.9% - PPC polling at 2.6%

Scarborough–Agincourt (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.9% - PPC polling at 3.2%

Vaughan–Woodbridge (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 2.5% - PPC polling at 2.9%

Whitby (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.3% - PPC polling at 2.4%

York Centre (Ont) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.4% - PPC polling at 2.4%

Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley (MB) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.5% - PPC polling at 9.5%

Saint Boniface–Saint Vital (MB) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.4% - PPC polling at 1.9%

Winnipeg South (MB) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.3% - PPC polling at 2.9%

Edmonton Strathcona (AB) - NDP/Cons polling within 0.8% - PPC polling at 1.5%

Burnaby North–Seymour (BC) - Libs/Cons TIED at 29.8% - PPC polling at 3.1%

Cloverdale–Langley City (BC) - Libs/Cons polling within 2.6% - PPC polling at 2.8%

Cowichan–Malahat–Langford (BC) - NDP/Cons polling within 0.5% - PPC polling at 2% (Libs/Green/NDP almost evenly splitting the left in this riding)

Delta (BC) - Libs/Cons polling within 2.1% - PPC polling at 2.4%

Vancouver South (BC) - Libs/Cons polling within 1.7% - PPC polling at 3.4%
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