Using an R value of 4 (SCARY!!!), using close to current reported cases (which actual value has been estimated at 20x reported), just using 1000 cases for this example. This is how it would go every two weeks:
1000
4000
16000
64000
256000
1.02million
4.08million
16million
65million
261million
1.04billion
4.18billion
With how quickly this has been spreading, it sure doesn't take long to cover half the earths population.... That said, the R value is coming in a population dense area, and would likely decrease significantly outside of China
Last edited by bloopbloob; 01-24-2020 at 12:03 PM.
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