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Old 01-03-2016, 10:03 PM
Pikebreath Pikebreath is offline
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,257
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The real problem with tag allocation regarding mule deer is the current lack of deer compared to past years reducing the overall numbers of tags.

In 2012, 9588 resident antlered mule deer tags (Draw code 13) were issued from an active pool of 48417 applicants for a success rate of 19.8 (essentially a 5 year wait in average).

There were 1043 landowner tags issued (just under 10% of the total resident tags given out.). Adding those 1043 tags into the draw allocation means 10631 total mule resident tags were given out. Giving the landowner allocation to the draw would have meant a 21.9% success rate, (still pretty close to a 5 year wait). Or in other words in 50 years of applying you would likely be drawn 11 times instead of 10 times.

However, if we go back to 2008, there were 15634 resident mule buck tags given out from 53600 applicants for a 34.9% application success rate,,, or just under a 3 year average wait time (you would likely be drawn be drawn 17 times in 50 years with those odds).

I do not know the number of landowner tags in 2008 but higher tag numbers would statistically reduce the number of land owner tags by a significant margin,.. First off you would have less landowners applying for landowner tags as they now have to be drawn in the first place,,, and conversely as tag allocations are reduced, the number of landowners applying for land owner tags will increase as wait times become longer.
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